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September 2008 Market Survey


Prosper's People-to-People Lending Market Survey results are released the second Tuesday of every month. To register to automatically receive the survey, send an email with "SUBSCRIBE" in the subject line to: p2plendingmarketsurvey@prosper.com.

Market Commentary By Prosper Co-founder and Chief Executive Officer, Chris Larsen

In the midst of one of the greatest economic crises America has ever faced, and on the heels of last week's Federal Reserve report indicating that for the first time in over a decade consumer borrowing significantly contracted, people are naturally asking what role Prosper will play and what trends we are seeing.

Although it's a bit too soon to point to Prosper data that correlates directly with the financial meltdown that has only begun to unfold, there are some noteworthy trends that have accelerated since the credit crunch began 14 months ago that are relevant to the current environment.

The biggest trend that continues in the Prosper marketplace since the credit crunch began last summer is that the percentage of borrowers with sterling credit that are listing and getting funded on Prosper remains at record levels (See "Mix of Funded Borrowers" Table). We expect this trend to continue particularly as more lenders on Prosper have become more conservative in their bidding strategies; and as more people, even those with the very best credit, are having their credit card limits reduced and home equity lines cancelled, and are being turned down for auto loans and private education loans.

Another key trend we're experiencing is that as consumer borrowing from traditional financing sources is shrinking, Prosper is experiencing solid growth. Year-to-date, the number of loans in terms of units is up 24% over the same time period last year, and up 37% in September 2008 compared to September 2007. At the same time, loan originations year-to-date in terms of dollars have increased 8% over the same period last year, and are up 7% in September 2008 compared to September 2007.

At a time when every sector in the economy seems to be under pressure and shrinking, the growth Prosper has experienced is very respectable. However, some may wonder why there is a disparity between unit growth and loan dollar volume growth. The answer lies in the average loan amount being funded on Prosper. Year-to-date the average loan amount is $6,047, down 13% or $925 compared to the same period last year. In September 2008 the average loan amount was $5,544, down 23% or $1,631 from September 2007. This indicates that lenders on Prosper are being more cautious by directing their bids toward listings with lower requested loan amounts.

All of these trends on Prosper are significant and interesting, but far more important in this time of economic upheaval is the opportunity for Americans to revitalize the spirit of It's A Wonderful Life; to channel the essence of Bedford Falls and George Bailey; and to "do well by doing good."


September 2008 Prosper People-to-People Lending Market Survey

Membership and Loan Volume Statistics

  September
2008
September
2007
Year-to-Date
2008
Year-to-Date
2007
Since
Inception
New Members 21,338 28,683 280,621 299,549 818,749
Funded Loans ($) $5.8 million $5.4 million $66.7 million $61.8 million $175.7 million
Funded Loans (Units) 1,038 758 11,024 8,868 28,409
Average Loan Size $5,544 $7,175 $6,047 $6,972 $6,184
Daily Average Number of Borrower Listings 2,189 2,300 2,372 2,214 1,771

Mix of Funded Borrowers

  September
2008
September
2007
September
2006
Year-to-Date
2008
Year-to-Date
2007
Year-to-Date
2006
Since
Inception
Prime 45% 30% 21% 43% 29% 26% 35%
Near Prime 50% 62% 55% 52% 58% 50% 54%
Sub Prime 5% 8% 24% 5% 13% 24% 11%

Definitions

Since Inception: November 1, 2005 through September 31, 2008. Prosper's by invitation only "friends and family" launch began on November 1, 2005 and Prosper launched to the general public on February 13, 2006.

2008 Year-to-Date: January 1, 2008 through September 31, 2008.

2007 Year-to-Date: January 1, 2007 through September 31, 2007.

2006 Year-to-Date: January 1, 2006 through September 31, 2006.

Mix of Funded Borrowers: Prime includes all AA and A credit grade loans (credit scores of 720+). Near Prime includes all B, C, D credit grade loans (credit scores between 600 and 719). Sub Prime includes all E and HR credit grade loans (credit scores below 600).

N/A: Not available; no loans met these criteria.

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